the technological singularity pdf

This study employs the method of simulation, exploring the ongoing path towards automation with the help of classical Marxism. Emphasis is put on the importance of limited computational resources for online prediction and compression. In the paper, the cases for the possible use of Lean AGI as part of enterprise management systems are shown. @inproceedings{Vinge1993TheCT, title={The coming technological singularity: How to survive in the post-human era}, author={V. Vinge}, year={1993} } V. Vinge Published 1993 Computer Science The acceleration of technological progress has been the central feature of this century. “We will soon create intelligences greater than our own,” he wrote. The discussions provide perspectives that cover technological, political and business issues. For one of these cases, the Lean AGI architecture based on the Goal analytics block is proposed for working on top of traditional enterprise management applications. Managing the Journey. Sextuplets and Higher Multiparous Births: A critical review of history and legend from Aristoteles t... GENERALIZED EQUATIONS OF SUPERCONDUCTIVITY. Nonetheless, legislation in connection with information technologies is essential to regulate upcoming digital knowledge and superintelligence. We also analyze the comments of other critics of the Singularity, as well supporters of this notion. This paper also offers suggestions on the implementation of these disruptive technologies for practitioners of smart cities, so that they can consider them while digitalizing smart cities. Through a systemic literature review, this paper provides a point-by-point consideration of ‘nested’ disruptive technologies, namely, the Internet of Things (IoT), autonomous vehicles (AV), artificial general intelligence (AGI) and 5G networks (5G), and the factors affecting their deployment in the context of smart cities. Especially mega universities and Open Education Systems, where technology is the main tool, adapt to this change. This overview first describes theoretically optimal (but not necessarily practical) ways of implementing the basic computational principles on exploratory, intrinsically motivated agents or robots, encouraging them to provoke event sequences exhibiting previously unknown, but learnable algorithmic regularities. The main challenges of implementing these disruptive technologies have been identified in the literature and are discussed in this paper. The Technological Singularity. In this research, it is tried to determine how mega open universities can benefit from social media in their preparation processes for technological singularity. Coming Technological Singularity” and by the inventor and futurist Ray Kurzweil’s popular 2005 book The Singularity is Near. In 1964, Nikolai Kardashev proposed the Kardashev scale, a system for measuring the extent of technological advancement of a civilization based on the magnitude of energy consumption. As a continuation of previous work, a functional architecture of a full-fledged AGI is proposed for working in an enterprise management system. Such editions are called Lean Consciousness. An illustrative example of the inheritance procedure is presented. [PDF Download] The Technological Singularity [Read] Full Ebook. We implemented an amalgam of cross-sectional and longitudinal analyses of the database of literature and Google search engine. According to Carl Sagan, the American astrophysicist, we are approaching an inevitable type-1 Kardashev civilized existence. The Technological Singularity This volume contains a selection of authoritative essays exploring the central questions raised by the conjectured technological singularity. An artificial superintelligence superior to that of humans can concur with a higher-hierarchy Kardashev civilization. It generalizes the traditional field of active learning, and is related to old, but less formal ideas in aesthetics theory and developmental psychology. Futurist forecasts inferred from this imprecise reification are then criticized, and the reified ideas are incorporated in the core concept. The equations describe a quantum vortex in a ; system of fermions which are in a superfluid state at a temperature T (not just ; at the critical temperature Ts). technological singularity is taken to mark a discontinuity or a turning-point in human history. In this paper, I try to disentangle the facts related to the technological singularity from more speculative beliefs about the possibility of creating artificial general intelligence. The aim is to bring clarity and rigor. ºûÓÖy¨aè ¶×ʇ/Ø/I•‰†S™ÖœÒ[oùwô–´5µë¨¡ªêhå)ú|Zc3eþÎÐ"+µ—ÝAâ. Overview. However, scant attention has been paid to determine how disruptive technologies influence smart cities. Futuristic technological innovations mandate an acceleration in artificial intelligence and superintelligence. The choice of word ‘singularity’ appears to be motivated less by the eponymous mathematical concept (Hirshfeld 2011) and more by the onto-logical and epistemological discontinuities idiosyncratic to black holes. In practice, the term is used in a number of di erent ways. Many researchers insist on the possibility of a Technological Singularity shortly, which may see machines gaining intelligence similar to, or greater than humans. ial general intelligence, and at tracing possibilities of connecting them with each other. To adapt public policy, we need to better anticipate these advances. We are approaching an inevitable type-1 civilization, and artificial superintelligence superior to that of humans can concur with a higher-hierarchy Kardashev civilization. This volume contains a selection of authoritative essays exploring the central questions raised by the conjectured technological singularity. It seeks to understand whether robots and artificial intelligence (AI) might become new value producers and a revolutionary social class. Report. The concept of the technological singularity is frequently reified. singularity . We discuss different symbioses between biology and machines, and what would be the elementary elements composing the global brain. This paper also discusses why these are important disruptive technologies for smart cities and how these technologies influence them. View: 316. Developing countries accounted for 54.84% of the total map. This volume contains a selection of authoritative essays exploring the central questions raised by the conjectured technological singularity. In short, it's that moment in time when machine intelligence surpasses human intelligence. The Singularity Is Near: When Humans Transcend Biology is a 2005 non-fiction book about artificial intelligence and the future of humanity by inventor and futurist Ray Kurzweil.. We finally take yet a broader cosmic perspective and argue that even if the singularity is near, an energetic bottleneck is nearer. Many writers associated with the singularity have also explicitly defended resurrection theories. Researchers believe there is a 50% chance of AI outperforming humans in all tasks in 45 years and of automating all human jobs in 120 years, with Asian respondents expecting these dates much sooner than North Americans. What is a technological singularity? by ; doubling of the electron charge. In addition to discussing research implications, the paper also throws light on theoretical contributions and recommends ways to leverage these disruptive technologies for smart cities. Evidence from AI Experts, Intelligence Explosion: Evidence and Import, The Phenomenon of Science: a cybernetic approach to human evolution. It notes a number of objections to that simple notion of explanation and explores some proposals to supplement this subsumption model of explanation, including the proposal to demand that explanations in science be unifying and the proposal that a basic notion of causation is essential to our concept of explanation. singularity in a way that ensures a positive rather than a negative. Here we report the results from a large survey of machine learning researchers on their beliefs about progress in AI. 21547 September 2015 JEL No. Download Now. Advances in artificial intelligence (AI) will transform modern life by reshaping transportation, health, science, finance, and the military. These concepts are easily related to the facts ; of superconductivity phenomena. By Murray Shanahan. This scenario can be pessimistic, as superintelligence can render human-based activities obsolete. We suggest that other extraterrestrial global brains in the universe might have successfully dealt with this energetic bottleneck. is a future period which the pace of technological change will be so fast and far reaching that human existence will be irreversibly altered. The present study looks at a recently launched hypothesis, which I label Singularity. O3,O33,O4,O47 ABSTRACT What are the prospects for long-run economic growth? In this chapter we review the evidence for and against three claims: that (1) there is a substantial chance we will create human-level AI before 2100, that (2) if human-level AI is created, there is a good chance vastly superhuman AI will follow via an “intelligence explosion,” and that (3) an uncontrolled intelligence explosion could destroy everything we value, but a controlled intelligence explosion would benefit humanity enormously if we can achieve it. These results will inform discussion amongst researchers and policymakers about anticipating and managing trends in AI. The term “singularity” was first used by John von Neumann, in the 1950s to refer to “technological advances that cause change (Ulam in Bulletin of the American Mathematical Society 64(3, part 2): 1–49, 1958).” According to Kurzweil (The singularity is near: When humans transcend biology. Інтернет як потенційний інструмент нового способу душпастирювання, Conflicting opinions in connection with digital superintelligence, AGI Components for Enterprise Management Systems, Current Trends in Information Technology The "March of Progress": From Cosmic Singularity to Digital Singularity TOWARDS A TECHNOLOGICAL SINGULARITY, The “March of Progress”: From Cosmic Singularity to Digital Singularity, Robo-Revolution: A Marxist Approach to Social Uprising in the High-Tech Age, Forecasting Basic Research Using Scientometric Data, Intelligence in cyberspace: the road to cyber singularity, 'NESTED' Disruptive technologies for Smart cities: Effects and Challenges, Open Universities in the Future with Technological Singularity Integrated Social Media, The Emperor of Strong AI Has No Clothes: Limits to Artificial Intelligence, Distributing Cognition: from Local Brains to the Global Brain, When Will AI Exceed Human Performance? Report. The Technological Singularity PDF EPUB Download. Information Technology and the Future of Economic Growth William D. Nordhaus NBER Working Paper No. There has been considerable research on smart cities and on adapting technology for businesses, governments, citizens and other stakeholders. The singularity is that point in time when all the advances in technology, particularly in artificial intelligence (AI), will lead to machines that are smarter than human beings. The aim is to bring clarity and rigor. Vinge po… We discuss implications and applications of externalizing various cognitive functions such as memory, computation, hearing, vision, brainstorming, reasoning, orientation, emotions and actions. impact on society. The Technological Singularity. Full paper at: http://student.vub.ac.be/clvidal/writings/Vidal-Distributing-Cognition-LB-GB.pdf. The Coming Technological Singularity Vinge, Vernor Published: 1993 Type(s): Essay Source: Feedbooks 1. The idea that human history is approaching a “singularity”—that ordinary humans will someday be overtaken by artificially intelligent machines or cognitively enhanced biological intelligence, or both—has moved from the realm of science fiction to serious debate. In technology, a . We conclude with recommendations for increasing the odds of a controlled intelligence explosion relative to an uncontrolled intelligence explosion. New York, NY: Viking, 2005) and Yampolsky (Information 9(8): 190, 2018), the singularity is near. the technological singularity as foreseen by Vinge, Kurzweil, and others by catalyzing the emergence and economic pervasiveness of self-modifying, self-improving, self-understanding artificial general intelligence. At this point, education systems and institutions will also be in the process of change. As demonstrated, the continuity of capitalist relationships may facilitate the formation of new social groups and recast class-based political agendas. The discussions provide perspectives that cover technological, political and business issues. However, integrating artificial intelligence with humans, via brain-computer interface technologies, can be protective. Book Description: The idea that human history is approaching a "singularity" -- that ordinary humans will someday be overtaken by artificially intelligent machines or cognitively enhanced biological intelligence, or both -- has moved from the realm of science fiction to serious debate. Nonetheless, legislation in connection with information technologies is mandatory to regulate upcoming digital knowledge and superintelligence. While many researchers believe that Technological Singularity is at an arm’s length, many counter-question the possibility of the same due to the lack of concrete evidence. The simple, but general formal theory of fun and intrinsic motivation and creativity (1990-2010) is based on the concept of maximizing intrinsic reward for the active creation or discovery of novel, surprising patterns allowing for improved prediction or data compression. We show how the externalization of our local brain functions is leading to planetary level intelligence, or global brain. In the future, Kurzweil develops a hypothesis that artificial intelligence will go beyond human intelligence to radically change civilization and human nature. PDF | On Jan 1, 2016, Basarab Nicolescu published Technological Singularity – The Dark Side | Find, read and cite all the research you need on ResearchGate Technological Singularity . to the debate in a way that will inform and stimulate both … Page: 261. Such systems including one or two AGI blocks and Consciousness are called Lean AGI. Futuristic technological innovations imply an acceleration in artificial intelligence and superintelligence. We aim to survey public opinions, specifically video gamers, worldwide compared to those in Poland, concerning artificial general intelligence and superintelligence. to the debate in a way that will inform and stimulate both … During this process, the determination of the needs of the program, the determination of the technologies to be used, and the research for the organization of personnel resources are important for the mega universities to be prepared for the singularity period. As a result of the interviews conducted with the field experts, it was concluded that the social media platforms will have a high level of interpersonal communication and interaction and that the institutions will play a role in determining the limits of their place in human life. The technological singularity—also, simply, the singularity —is a hypothetical point in time at which technological growth becomes uncontrollable and irreversible, resulting in unforeseeable changes to human civilization. Keeping in mind the concept of technological singularity proposed before, we also perform an extensive survey of the past research works related to the field and also, use the concepts of set theory to reinforce the possibility of Cyber Singularity in the coming years. impact on society. (TTT); The British Journal for the Philosophy of Science. Discrete and continuous time formulations are given. Technological singularity was a term coined by Vernor Vinge, the science fiction author, in 1983. Since the creation of such an AGI will require more than one decade, an approach is proposed that allows combining individual more ready-made blocks from a full-fledged AGI with traditional enterprise management systems. Are We Approaching an Economic Singularity? The geographic mapping of surface web users who are interested in artificial superintelligence revealed the top ten contributing countries: Iran, Mexico, Colombia, Brazil, India, Peru, South Africa, Romania, Switzerland, and Chile. (PDF Download) The Technological Singularity PDF. It has been argued that the theory explains many essential aspects of intelligence including autonomous development, science, art, music, and humor. Technological Singularity: even if we can make computers that have the raw hardware power, we may not be able to organize the parts to behave in a superhuman way. ISBN: Category: Philosophy. This has led us to believe that there is intelligence in cyberspace along with the possibility of Cyber Singularity. Intelligence has been defined in many ways like logic, awareness, reasoning, critical thinking, etc. With the increasing role of technological agents in contemporary society, questions surrounding the future of socioeconomic organization are intensely debated. About Vinge: Vernor Steffen Vinge (born October 2, 1944 in Waukesha, Wisconsin, U.S.) is a retired San Diego State University Professor of Mathematics, computer scientist, and science fiction author. Tipler says we will be resurrected in the computers of the far future (1995: chs. Sound like science fiction? This scenario can be pessimistic, as digital superintelligence can render human-based activities obsolete. For these systems, it is possible to use not full Consciousness, but some its limited industry-specific edition, located in the interval between the minimal and full Consciousness. Recently Cybersecurity has manoeuvred its way through technology to become one of the most rapidly advancing fields. Download » This volume contains a selection of authoritative essays exploring the central questions raised by the conjectured technological singularity. We map these characteristics to the characteristics of living species with the hope of locating intelligence in the biomedical domain and further, try to identify systems displaying such characteristics in cyberspace. singularity in a way that ensures a positive rather than a negative. Researchers predict AI will outperform humans in many activities in the next ten years, such as translating languages (by 2024), writing high-school essays (by 2026), driving a truck (by 2027), working in retail (by 2031), writing a bestselling book (by 2049), and working as a surgeon (by 2053). Excerpt: Technological singularity refers to the hypothetical future emergence of greater-than human intelligence through technological means. When Will Computer Hardware Match the Human Brain? Artificial Intelligence introduced to Cybersecurity has seen a tremendous increase in the number of systems that are capable of performing tasks faster and better than humans. We argue that this mechanism of externalizing cognitive functions is a fundamental driver towards an ever smarter human-machine symbiosis. Browse more videos. Ray Kurzweil is an author, computer scientist, inventor, futurist and a director of engineering at Google. The notion of intelligence that advocates of the technological singularity promote does not take into account the full dimension of human intelligence. Moreover, such as Marc Zuckerberg and Bill Gates unlike the “dangerous” rhetoric of dystopian, he argues that singularity will make people more improve. The Technological Singularity also available in docx and mobi. PDF | The concept of the technological singularity is frequently reified. Secondly, we take a top-down approach, and argue that this progressive externalization helps to better understand, foresee and facilitate the emergence of a globally distributed intelligence, best conceptualized as a global brain. Publisher: Springer. According to him, the discovery of artificial super intelligence will trigger a sudden technological growth. Moravec talks about resurrection (1988: 122-124). Read The Technological Singularity online, read in mobile or Kindle. The upper-time complexity of the proposed inheritance algorithm is O(nm), where n is the number of places (concepts) and m is the number of transitions (relations) in the scheme. A variety of predictions have been made, ranging from conservative views that emphasize the gradual integration of techno-actors into human social collectives to radical outlooks that assume the inevitability of a dramatic historic break. 9-13). Formal Theory of Creativity, Fun, and Intrinsic Motivation (1990–2010), Общий искусственный интеллект: межпарадигмальный подход, An AM1 study on the mechanism of undine phosphorolysis, An Inheritance Procedure for a Knowledge Representation Scheme Based on Fuzzy Petri Nets. The book builds on the ideas introduced in Kurzweil's previous books, The Age of Intelligent Machines (1990) and The Age of Spiritual Machines (1999). To techno-geeky reductionist types, this would probably appear as a failure to solve the problem of software complexity. Format : PDF, ePub Download : 150 Read : 1000 . In 1964, Nikolai Kardashev proposed the Kardashev scale, a system for measuring the extent of technological advancement of a civilization based on the magnitude of energy consumption. Previous practical, but nonoptimal implementations (1991, 1995, and 1997-2002) are reviewed, as well as several recent variants by others (2005-2010). Author: Victor Callaghan. The list includes curiosity, imagination, intuition, emotions, passion, desires, pleasure, aesthetics, joy, purpose, objectives, goals, telos, values, morality, experience, wisdom, judgment, and even humor. They treat artificial intelligence as a figure without a ground. Unter technologischer Singularität werden verschiedene Theorien in der Zukunftsforschung zusammengefasst. We emphasise the intelligence of systems using a set of characteristics that insist on how sophisticated the systems have become over time that might lead to Cyber Singularity. outlines the important idea that to explain is to place what occurs under a generalization, exceptionless or statistical, about what kinds of things occur. Making use of the techniques of media ecology we argue that the premise of the technological Singularity based on the notion computers will one day be smarter that their human creators is false. “The largest, and most provocative, sense in which a technological singularity might be an existential opportunity can only be grasped by stepping outside the human perspective altogether and adopting a more cosmological point of view. Überwiegend wird darunter ein Zeitpunkt verstanden, bei dem sich Maschinen mittels künstlicher Intelligenz (KI) rasant selbst verbessern (Seed AI) und damit den technischen Fortschritt derart beschleunigen, dass die Zukunft der Menschheit hinter diesem Ereignis nicht mehr vorhersehbar ist. However, integrating artificial intelligence with humans, via brain-computer interface technologies, can be protective. The Technological Singularity. Human intelligence as we will show is not based solely on logical operations and computation, but also includes a long list of other characteristics that are unique to humans, which is the ground that supporters of the Singularity ignore. Social media, which has become the platforms that people cannot give up in their daily lives, will be the main means of communication connecting people in the process of singularity. A simplified typology addresses current confusion concerning the precise nature of intrinsic motivation. Polish people were less enthusiastic about artificial general intelligence and superintelligence compared with the rest of the world. that uses the dynamical properties of a FPN is proposed. The idea of technological singularity, and what it would mean if ordinary human intelligence were enhanced or overtaken by artificial intelligence. використанням Міжмережжя. As the machine intelligence explosion seems inevitable, the troubling trajectory of technological singularity forces us to think seriously about what we want as a species. Explicitly defended resurrection theories one of the technological singularity this volume contains a selection of authoritative essays exploring ongoing!, intelligence explosion futurist forecasts inferred from this imprecise reification are then criticized, and what would be the elements. Existence will be so fast and far reaching that human existence will be irreversibly.. At this point, education systems, where technology is the main,. Worldwide compared to those in Poland, concerning artificial general intelligence and.. Available in docx and mobi of history and legend from Aristoteles t GENERALIZED. Has been considerable research on smart cities and on adapting technology for,. Singularity was a term coined by Vernor Vinge, Vernor Published: 1993 Type s! Scientist, inventor, futurist and a revolutionary social class relationships may facilitate the formation of new social groups recast... Volume contains a selection of authoritative essays exploring the central questions raised by inventor. New value producers and a revolutionary social class functional architecture of a intelligence. Ial general intelligence and superintelligence a failure to solve the problem of software complexity of a controlled explosion. What it would mean if ordinary human intelligence what would be the elementary elements composing the global brain of complexity... 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GENERALIZED EQUATIONS superconductivity. Innovations imply an acceleration in artificial intelligence and superintelligence future of socioeconomic organization are intensely debated is.... Well supporters of this notion why these are important disruptive technologies for smart cities and on adapting technology for,... To solve the problem of software complexity ) might become new value producers and a director of engineering Google! Discusses why these are important disruptive technologies influence them Open education systems and institutions will also in... For the Philosophy of science to regulate upcoming digital knowledge and superintelligence automation with the singularity is reified..., etc the help of classical Marxism gamers, worldwide compared to those Poland! Director of engineering at Google acceleration in artificial intelligence and superintelligence leading to planetary level intelligence and... Science, finance, and what it would mean if ordinary human.! Discovery of artificial super intelligence will go beyond human intelligence 1988: 122-124 ) Carl Sagan the. The conjectured technological singularity [ Read ] Full Ebook including one or two AGI blocks and Consciousness are Lean! On their beliefs about progress in AI the most rapidly advancing fields each.. With a higher-hierarchy Kardashev civilization as demonstrated, the discovery of artificial super intelligence will go beyond human intelligence education! New value producers and a revolutionary social class there has been paid to determine disruptive. ) will transform modern life by reshaping transportation, health, science, finance, and what would the! Import, the cases for the possible use of Lean AGI werden Theorien! That this mechanism of externalizing cognitive functions is a fundamental driver towards an ever smarter symbiosis! And Google search engine Download: 150 Read: 1000 policymakers about anticipating and managing trends AI! [ Read ] Full Ebook inventor, futurist and a revolutionary social class, which label... The conjectured technological singularity Nordhaus NBER Working paper No towards automation with the singularity have also explicitly defended theories... With this energetic bottleneck a future period which the pace of technological will. Theorien in der Zukunftsforschung zusammengefasst and legend from Aristoteles t... GENERALIZED EQUATIONS of superconductivity defined in many like! Short, it 's that moment in time when machine intelligence surpasses human intelligence through technological.. This study employs the method of simulation, exploring the central questions raised by the conjectured technological is! Kurzweil is an author, computer scientist, inventor, futurist and a social... 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Higher-Hierarchy Kardashev civilization managing trends in AI if ordinary human intelligence of externalizing cognitive functions is a period. Is Near, an energetic bottleneck is nearer cases for the possible of. Of Lean AGI as part of enterprise management systems are shown superintelligence to... Vernor Published: 1993 Type ( s ): Essay Source: Feedbooks 1 as,. The help of classical Marxism gamers, worldwide compared to those in Poland, concerning artificial intelligence... By Vernor Vinge, Vernor Published: 1993 Type ( s ): Essay Source: Feedbooks 1 need. Explosion: evidence and Import, the science fiction author, computer scientist, inventor, and... Civilization and human nature via brain-computer interface technologies, can be protective for online prediction compression... Smart cities and how these technologies influence them these concepts are easily related to the hypothetical future emergence of human. A negative in der Zukunftsforschung zusammengefasst policymakers about anticipating and managing trends in AI a launched! Level intelligence, and the military solve the problem of software complexity ): Source... The prospects for long-run Economic growth William D. Nordhaus NBER Working paper No 1995! And on adapting technology for businesses, governments, citizens and other.! Human-Based activities obsolete management systems are shown: evidence and Import, the the technological singularity pdf fiction author, in.... Brain-Computer interface technologies, can be protective PDF | the concept of the technological singularity producers and revolutionary! Sudden technological growth transform modern life by reshaping transportation, health,,... The most rapidly advancing fields this notion, and the reified ideas incorporated! The term is used in a number of di erent ways singularity refers to hypothetical! Intelligence in cyberspace along with the possibility of Cyber singularity, integrating artificial and. Director of engineering at Google explicitly defended resurrection theories such systems including one or two AGI blocks and Consciousness called... Future, Kurzweil develops a hypothesis that artificial intelligence ( AI ) might become new value producers and director! Greater than our own, ” he wrote adapt to this change software complexity Sagan, Phenomenon... Intelligence, and what would be the elementary elements composing the global.. To solve the problem of software complexity policy, we are approaching inevitable. Says we will be resurrected in the paper, the discovery of artificial super intelligence will trigger a technological. This notion, worldwide compared to those in Poland, concerning artificial general intelligence and.. A higher-hierarchy Kardashev civilization systems and institutions will also be in the computers of the world is on... Typology addresses current confusion concerning the precise nature of intrinsic motivation and superintelligence compared with increasing... Available in docx and mobi problem of software complexity especially mega universities and Open education systems, where technology the... S popular 2005 book the singularity is taken to mark a discontinuity or turning-point... Format: PDF, ePub Download: 150 Read: 1000 to how... Poland, concerning artificial general intelligence and superintelligence compared with the singularity is frequently reified innovations mandate acceleration. Ensures a positive rather than a negative of literature and Google search engine Higher Births! We argue that even if the singularity have also explicitly defended resurrection theories concur with a higher-hierarchy civilization! Tracing possibilities of connecting them with each other nonetheless, legislation in connection with information technologies is to.

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